secondary · src_molloy_2023_europe
Was There a 3.2 ka Crisis in Europe? A Critical Comparison of Climatic, Environmental, and Archaeological Evidence for Radical Change during the Bronze Age–Iron Age Transition
Barry Molloy · 2023
Citation metadata
- Type
- journal article
- Publication
- Journal of Archaeological Research, vol. 31, 331–394
- Peer reviewed
- Yes
Records informed by this source
- causal hypothesis Iron Technology as the Principal TriggerUnsupported explanationConfidence in this assessment, not in the proposed storycontradicts · challenges model
Provides evidence or reasoning against Iron Technology as the Principal Trigger.
- causal hypothesis Direct Steppe-to-Eastern-Mediterranean Migration Chaincontradicts · challenges model
Provides evidence or reasoning against Direct Steppe-to-Eastern-Mediterranean Migration Chain.
- causal hypothesis Volcanic Forcing as the Main TriggerUnsupported explanationConfidence in this assessment, not in the proposed storycontradicts · challenges model
Provides evidence or reasoning against Volcanic Forcing as the Main Trigger.
- causal hypothesis Climate-Dominated Collapsecontradicts · challenges model
Provides evidence or reasoning against Climate-Dominated Collapse.
- claim Frattesina emerged as a major exchange and craft centre after the Terramare transformation, with evidence for mobile individuals.Evidence confidence: highinforms · establishes
Supports the claim: Frattesina emerged as a major exchange and craft centre after the Terramare transformation, with evidence for mobile individuals.
- claim The dense Terramare settlement system ended, followed by major reorganization and depopulation in parts of the Po Valley.Evidence confidence: moderateinforms · establishes
Supports the claim: The dense Terramare settlement system ended, followed by major reorganization and depopulation in parts of the Po Valley.
- claim Large, interlinked settlement networks that flourished before 1200 BCE were substantially reorganized at the Bronze–Iron transition.Evidence confidence: moderateinforms · establishes
Supports the claim: Large, interlinked settlement networks that flourished before 1200 BCE were substantially reorganized at the Bronze–Iron transition.
- date assertion Collapse of the Terramare Settlement System — date assertionEvidence confidence: moderateinforms · reviews · Po Valley section
- date assertion Transformation of Southern Carpathian Basin Settlement Networks — date assertionEvidence confidence: moderateinforms · reviews · Carpathian Basin section
- event Collapse of the Terramare Settlement SystemEvidence confidence: moderateinforms · reviews · Po Valley section
Source relationship recorded for Collapse of the Terramare Settlement System.
- event Transformation of Southern Carpathian Basin Settlement NetworksEvidence confidence: moderateinforms · reviews · Carpathian Basin section
Source relationship recorded for Transformation of Southern Carpathian Basin Settlement Networks.
- date assertion Growth of Frattesina as a Post-Terramare Port of Trade — date assertionEvidence confidence: highinforms · supports · Po Valley section
- claim No single local drought or moisture proxy should be generalized to the entire eastern Mediterranean without testing spatial representativeness and proxy agreement.Evidence confidence: highsupports · supports
Supports the claim: No single local drought or moisture proxy should be generalized to the entire eastern Mediterranean without testing spatial representativeness and proxy agreement.
- event Growth of Frattesina as a Post-Terramare Port of TradeEvidence confidence: highsupports · supports · Po Valley section
Source relationship recorded for Growth of Frattesina as a Post-Terramare Port of Trade.
- claim Collapse of the Terramare Settlement System is best dated in this release to approximately mid-12th century BCE.Evidence confidence: moderatesupports · supports
Supports the claim: Collapse of the Terramare Settlement System is best dated in this release to approximately mid-12th century BCE.
- claim The Late Bronze Age transition was regionally asynchronous: Mycenaean palaces, the Hittite centre, Ugarit, Cyprus, Egypt, Assyria, Babylonia and European regions changed on diff…Evidence confidence: highsupports · supports
Supports the claim: The Late Bronze Age transition was regionally asynchronous: Mycenaean palaces, the Hittite centre, Ugarit, Cyprus, Egypt, Assyria, Babylonia and European regions changed on different schedules.
- property assignment The Late Bronze Age transition was regionally asynchronous: Mycenaean palaces, the Hittite centre, Ugarit, Cyprus, Egypt, Assyria, Babylonia and European regions changed on diff… — has property — Historiographic ReassessmentEvidence confidence: highsupports · supports assignment
This claim revises or audits a conventional collapse narrative using explicit chronological and evidential reassessment.
- property assignment Hekla 3 Eruption — has research status — Likely Unrelated to the Initial c.1200 BCE CrisisEvidence confidence: highsupports · supports assignment
The currently preferred Hekla 3 date is too late to initiate most destructions and political failures clustered around the turn of the twelfth century BCE.
- relationship Hekla 3 Eruption — did not cause — Collapse of the Hittite Central Imperial AdministrationUnsupported explanationConfidence in this assessment: highConfidence in this assessment, not in the proposed storysupports · supports causal relationship
The preferred Hekla 3 chronology is too late for the eruption to initiate the Hittite central collapse.
- relationship Collapse of the Terramare Settlement System — preceded and redirected exchange toward — Growth of Frattesina as a Post-Terramare Port of TradeEvidence confidence: moderatesupports · supports causal relationship
The contraction of Terramare settlement systems preceded the growth of Frattesina and may have redirected people and exchange toward new nodes.
- relationship Expansion of Iron Production and Use — did not initiate — Dissolution of the Mycenaean Palatial Administrative SystemUnsupported explanationConfidence in this assessment: highConfidence in this assessment, not in the proposed storysupports · supports causal relationship
The major expansion of iron production and use is largely later than the first palatial destructions and cannot serve as a universal initiating shock.
- entity FrattesinaEvidence confidence: highsupports · supports entity record
Supports the existence, description, classification, or historical context of Frattesina.
- entity Terramare Settlement SystemEvidence confidence: highsupports · supports entity record
Supports the existence, description, classification, or historical context of Terramare Settlement System.
- entity Po ValleyEvidence confidence: highsupports · supports entity record
Supports the existence, description, classification, or historical context of Po Valley.
- causal hypothesis Regionally Asynchronous Multi-Causal Network Transformationsupports · supports model component
Supports one or more evidential components of Regionally Asynchronous Multi-Causal Network Transformation.
- causal hypothesis Multiple Largely Independent Regional Crisessupports · supports model component
Supports one or more evidential components of Multiple Largely Independent Regional Crises.
- property Local Proxy, Not Automatic Regional Generalizationsupports · supports property definition
Supports the definition or scholarly use of the property Local Proxy, Not Automatic Regional Generalization.
- property Likely Unrelated to the Initial c.1200 BCE Crisissupports · supports property definition
Supports the definition or scholarly use of the property Likely Unrelated to the Initial c.1200 BCE Crisis.
- relationship Terramare Settlement System — located in — Po ValleyEvidence confidence: highsupports · supports relationship
Terramare Settlement System is located in or geographically associated with Po Valley.
- relationship Collapse of the Terramare Settlement System — occurred in — Po ValleyEvidence confidence: moderatesupports · supports relationship
Collapse of the Terramare Settlement System is geographically assigned to Po Valley.
- relationship Collapse of the Terramare Settlement System — affected — Terramare Settlement SystemEvidence confidence: moderatesupports · supports relationship
Collapse of the Terramare Settlement System directly affected Terramare Settlement System in this reconstruction.
- relationship Growth of Frattesina as a Post-Terramare Port of Trade — occurred in — FrattesinaEvidence confidence: highsupports · supports relationship
Growth of Frattesina as a Post-Terramare Port of Trade is geographically assigned to Frattesina.
- relationship Frattesina — participated in — Growth of Frattesina as a Post-Terramare Port of TradeEvidence confidence: highsupports · supports relationship
Frattesina is a participant, evidential object, or directly involved entity in Growth of Frattesina as a Post-Terramare Port of Trade.
- relationship Bronze-Metal Exchange Networks — participated in — Growth of Frattesina as a Post-Terramare Port of TradeEvidence confidence: highsupports · supports relationship
Bronze-Metal Exchange Networks is a participant, evidential object, or directly involved entity in Growth of Frattesina as a Post-Terramare Port of Trade.
- relationship Transformation of Southern Carpathian Basin Settlement Networks — occurred in — Southern Carpathian BasinEvidence confidence: moderatesupports · supports relationship
Transformation of Southern Carpathian Basin Settlement Networks is geographically assigned to Southern Carpathian Basin.
- relationship Frattesina — located in — Po ValleyEvidence confidence: highsupports · supports relationship
Frattesina is located in or geographically associated with Po Valley.
- claim The best-current reconstruction is a regionally asynchronous, multi-causal transformation in which local shocks and conflicts interacted with institutional fragility and, in som…Evidence confidence: highsupports · supports synthesis
Supports the claim: The best-current reconstruction is a regionally asynchronous, multi-causal transformation in which local shocks and conflicts interacted with institutional fragility and, in some regions, wider network disruption.