property assignment · PA-HEKLA3-REJECTED-COLLAPSE-CAUSE
PA-HEKLA3-REJECTED-COLLAPSE-CAUSE
The best direct tephra date places Hekla 3 about a century or more after the central Anatolian drought and the first major political failures.
Review and provenance
Specialist reviewer: not recorded. Review date: not recorded.
Dataset workflow: currently rejected. This is separate from specialist review.
Confidence describes the stated assessment; it does not certify expert approval. How review works.
Research description
Hekla 3 cannot presently explain the c. 1198-1196 BCE drought or initiate the Hittite, Ugaritic, and early Mycenaean crises because its calibrated date is 1087-1006 BCE.
Evidence and sources
Source roles below relate to the stated assessment, “Unsupported explanation”. Read the source notes to distinguish evidence for an observation from evidence against an explanation.
- informs · provides eruption date
Two Tephra Layers Bracketing Late Holocene Paleoecological Changes in Northern Germany — Christel van den Bogaard, Walter Dörfler, Rainer Glos, Marie-Josée Nadeau, Pieter M. Grootes, Helmut Erlenkeuser (2002) - informs · provides target drought date
Severe multi-year drought coincident with Hittite collapse around 1198-1196 BC — Sturt W. Manning, Cindy Kocik, Brita Lorentzen, Jed P. Sparks (2023)
Referenced records
- Currently rejected causal hypothesis · property
- Hekla 3 eruption · entity