What is the evidence?

observation

Three consecutive exceptionally dry years within a longer dry interval, recorded in tree-ring widths and stable carbon isotopes.

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Review and provenance

Specialist reviewer: not recorded. Review date: not recorded.

Dataset workflow: not recorded. This is separate from specialist review.

Confidence describes the stated assessment; it does not certify expert approval. How review works.

Chronology

Dating intervals may describe uncertainty or phases; their width alone does not establish event duration.

Preferred assertion

1198 BCE–1196 BCE

Precision: not specified

high

Interpretation and caveats

A severe agricultural and food-security shock that likely contributed to Hittite disintegration but was not a sufficient sole cause.

Event context

Classification

Event type: environmental event

People and places

Locations: central Anatolia

Evidence and sources

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