event · EVT-CENTRAL-ANATOLIA-DROUGHT-1198
Severe multi-year drought in central Anatolia
Three consecutive exceptionally dry years within a longer dry interval, recorded in tree-ring widths and stable carbon isotopes.
What is the evidence?
observation
Three consecutive exceptionally dry years within a longer dry interval, recorded in tree-ring widths and stable carbon isotopes.Review and provenance
Specialist reviewer: not recorded. Review date: not recorded.
Dataset workflow: not recorded. This is separate from specialist review.
Confidence describes the stated assessment; it does not certify expert approval. How review works.
Chronology
Dating intervals may describe uncertainty or phases; their width alone does not establish event duration.
1198 BCE–1196 BCE
Precision: not specified
high- informs · establishes date and proxy signal
Severe multi-year drought coincident with Hittite collapse around 1198-1196 BC — Sturt W. Manning, Cindy Kocik, Brita Lorentzen, Jed P. Sparks (2023)
Locator: abstract; results for 1198-1196 BCE - informs · supports agricultural impact
New crop stable isotope evidence reveals the impact of the 3.2 ka rapid climate event on arable agricultural production at late Bronze Age-Iron Age Hattusa, Central Anatolia — Charlotte Diffey, Reinder Neef, Andreas Schachner, Jürgen Seeher, Amy Bogaard (2026)
Locator: crop isotope conclusions
Interpretation and caveats
A severe agricultural and food-security shock that likely contributed to Hittite disintegration but was not a sufficient sole cause.
Event context
Classification
Event type: environmental event
People and places
Locations: central Anatolia
Evidence and sources
- informs · establishes date and proxy signal
Severe multi-year drought coincident with Hittite collapse around 1198-1196 BC — Sturt W. Manning, Cindy Kocik, Brita Lorentzen, Jed P. Sparks (2023)
Locator: abstract; results for 1198-1196 BCE - informs · supports agricultural impact
New crop stable isotope evidence reveals the impact of the 3.2 ka rapid climate event on arable agricultural production at late Bronze Age-Iron Age Hattusa, Central Anatolia — Charlotte Diffey, Reinder Neef, Andreas Schachner, Jürgen Seeher, Amy Bogaard (2026)
Locator: crop isotope conclusions