event · evt_central_anatolia_drought
Severe Multi-Year Drought in Central Anatolia
An annually resolved proxy identifies an unusually severe, continuous three-year drought near the Hittite core.
What is the evidence?
observed evidence
- Low ring widths
- Carbon-isotope signal consistent with severe dryness
- Long annually resolved chronology
proposed causes
consequences
- possible agricultural and fiscal stress
- reduced resilience
The proxy signal and chronology are strong; its exact spatial intensity across the empire is inferred.
Inspect the sources →Review and provenance
Specialist reviewer: not recorded. Review date: not recorded.
Dataset workflow: reviewed for v0.1. This is separate from specialist review.
Recorded dataset maintenance date: 2026-08-11.
Confidence describes the stated assessment; it does not certify expert approval. How review works.
Chronology
Dating intervals may describe uncertainty or phases; their width alone does not establish event duration.
1198 BCE–1196 BCE
Precision: annual proxy
hightree-ring width and carbon isotopes
- informs · establishes
Severe Multi-Year Drought Coincident with Hittite Collapse around 1198–1196 BC — Sturt W. Manning, Cindy Kocik, Brita Lorentzen, Jed P. Sparks (2023)
Locator: abstract, results and data
Event context
People and places
Locations: Gordion, Central Anatolia
Affected entities: Gordion Juniper Ring-Width and Carbon-Isotope Record, Hittite Empire
Properties and assignments
A label’s definition and the evidence for assigning it here are separate.
Drought Event
A dated episode of reduced moisture availability inferred from one or more environmental proxy records.
Why does this record have this property?
Tree-ring width and carbon-isotope evidence identifies an unusually severe multi-year drought around 1198–1196 BCE.
Environmental Proxy Evidence
A measured natural archive used to reconstruct past environmental conditions.
Why does this record have this property?
The event is reconstructed from independently dated tree-ring and stable-carbon-isotope measurements.
Evidence and sources
- informs · establishes
Severe Multi-Year Drought Coincident with Hittite Collapse around 1198–1196 BC — Sturt W. Manning, Cindy Kocik, Brita Lorentzen, Jed P. Sparks (2023)Source relationship recorded for Severe Multi-Year Drought in Central Anatolia.
Locator: abstract, results and data
Referenced records
- Central Anatolia · entity
- Hittite Empire · entity
- Gordion · entity
- Gordion Juniper Ring-Width and Carbon-Isotope Record · entity